1 00:00:18,240 --> 00:00:15,930 hello and welcome to the National Air 2 00:00:20,250 --> 00:00:18,250 and Space Museum I am dr. Jennifer 3 00:00:22,050 --> 00:00:20,260 Levasseur a curator here in our 4 00:00:24,120 --> 00:00:22,060 Department of space history and I want 5 00:00:25,550 --> 00:00:24,130 to welcome all of you to what's new in 6 00:00:28,560 --> 00:00:25,560 aerospace our program this afternoon 7 00:00:30,570 --> 00:00:28,570 today we are celebrating Earth Day as 8 00:00:32,910 --> 00:00:30,580 well as the 25th anniversary of the 9 00:00:34,380 --> 00:00:32,920 Hubble Space Telescope and we have dr. 10 00:00:36,689 --> 00:00:34,390 Pierce Sellars with us who's going to 11 00:00:38,250 --> 00:00:36,699 talk about seeing Earth from space he's 12 00:00:40,740 --> 00:00:38,260 going to give us a tour of Earth from 13 00:00:42,329 --> 00:00:40,750 the astronauts perspective and also show 14 00:00:44,790 --> 00:00:42,339 us what we can learn about our planet 15 00:00:46,320 --> 00:00:44,800 from orbit I want to remember every I 16 00:00:48,630 --> 00:00:46,330 want to remind everyone who is watching 17 00:00:50,910 --> 00:00:48,640 online or on NASA television too so 18 00:00:53,939 --> 00:00:50,920 please submit your questions and we can 19 00:00:55,259 --> 00:00:53,949 answer them later in the show now I want 20 00:00:57,899 --> 00:00:55,269 to introduce our speaker today dr. 21 00:00:59,910 --> 00:00:57,909 Sellars was born in Sussex England and 22 00:01:01,829 --> 00:00:59,920 before he went to university he would be 23 00:01:04,170 --> 00:01:01,839 K he trained as a pilot with the Royal 24 00:01:06,300 --> 00:01:04,180 Air Force he earned a Bachelor of 25 00:01:09,060 --> 00:01:06,310 Science degree in ecological science at 26 00:01:11,010 --> 00:01:09,070 the University of Edinburgh and a PhD in 27 00:01:13,440 --> 00:01:11,020 biomaterial adji from the University of 28 00:01:15,870 --> 00:01:13,450 Leeds he moved to the United States in 29 00:01:17,730 --> 00:01:15,880 1982 to work at the NASA Goddard Space 30 00:01:19,800 --> 00:01:17,740 Flight Center which of course is just up 31 00:01:22,709 --> 00:01:19,810 the road from us and he was there as a 32 00:01:24,690 --> 00:01:22,719 research meteorologist I would say he is 33 00:01:26,840 --> 00:01:24,700 the model of persistence having applied 34 00:01:29,880 --> 00:01:26,850 many times to the astronaut program 35 00:01:32,819 --> 00:01:29,890 starting in 1984 and finally being 36 00:01:35,219 --> 00:01:32,829 accepted in 1996 as part of the largest 37 00:01:36,989 --> 00:01:35,229 class of astronauts ever nicknamed the 38 00:01:39,989 --> 00:01:36,999 sardines because there were 44 39 00:01:43,469 --> 00:01:39,999 astronauts in the class he's flown to 40 00:01:46,080 --> 00:01:43,479 space three times on the space shuttle 41 00:01:49,349 --> 00:01:46,090 and spent almost 35 days in space he 42 00:01:51,200 --> 00:01:49,359 twice flew on Atlantis in 2002 and 2010 43 00:01:53,700 --> 00:01:51,210 to the International Space Station and 44 00:01:56,789 --> 00:01:53,710 most importantly to us here at the 45 00:01:59,609 --> 00:01:56,799 museum flew on discovery in 2006 to the 46 00:02:01,379 --> 00:01:59,619 International Space Station on his 2010 47 00:02:04,620 --> 00:02:01,389 mission he did a special task for us 48 00:02:08,100 --> 00:02:04,630 here at the museum he flew the replica 49 00:02:09,900 --> 00:02:08,110 of a nobel prize won by john mavar from 50 00:02:11,610 --> 00:02:09,910 our collection to space and returned to 51 00:02:14,250 --> 00:02:11,620 us quite generously at the end of his 52 00:02:17,160 --> 00:02:14,260 mission he performed six spacewalks 53 00:02:19,650 --> 00:02:17,170 totaling over 41 hours having been spent 54 00:02:24,780 --> 00:02:19,660 outside his spacecraft so let's welcome 55 00:02:30,310 --> 00:02:27,220 thank you very much well good afternoon 56 00:02:32,080 --> 00:02:30,320 everybody it's great to be here and I'm 57 00:02:34,780 --> 00:02:32,090 going to give you a quick tour of the 58 00:02:36,640 --> 00:02:34,790 Earth from space anybody here like to go 59 00:02:39,700 --> 00:02:36,650 into space I'm looking at the back there 60 00:02:41,800 --> 00:02:39,710 yes good answer yeah the view is 61 00:02:43,110 --> 00:02:41,810 terrific so I'm going to talk about 62 00:02:50,020 --> 00:02:43,120 planet Earth 63 00:02:52,000 --> 00:02:50,030 over here there's less feedback as if it 64 00:02:53,770 --> 00:02:52,010 were a human being and you were doing a 65 00:02:56,050 --> 00:02:53,780 health check on it because really that's 66 00:02:57,790 --> 00:02:56,060 what our satellites allow us to do so 67 00:03:00,449 --> 00:02:57,800 we're gonna look at the vital signs of 68 00:03:03,190 --> 00:03:00,459 planet Earth here we go 69 00:03:05,020 --> 00:03:03,200 quick slide there's me these graphics 70 00:03:06,580 --> 00:03:05,030 are terrific they see the pulse is going 71 00:03:08,920 --> 00:03:06,590 Morris with us to get you in the mood 72 00:03:12,190 --> 00:03:08,930 for a medical examination of your home 73 00:03:14,620 --> 00:03:12,200 planet and off we go so here's what the 74 00:03:16,260 --> 00:03:14,630 planet looks like from space I'm hanging 75 00:03:20,140 --> 00:03:16,270 from the space station 76 00:03:22,090 --> 00:03:20,150 one-handed see how strong I am and from 77 00:03:25,540 --> 00:03:22,100 there you're going round the world at 78 00:03:27,100 --> 00:03:25,550 five miles per second same as most of 79 00:03:28,570 --> 00:03:27,110 the other low-earth orbiting satellites 80 00:03:29,920 --> 00:03:28,580 you're going around at five miles a 81 00:03:31,900 --> 00:03:29,930 second you're going around the world 82 00:03:32,140 --> 00:03:31,910 once every one and a half hours more or 83 00:03:34,900 --> 00:03:32,150 less 84 00:03:36,490 --> 00:03:34,910 ten times a day so you can imagine you 85 00:03:39,940 --> 00:03:36,500 could cover a lot of territory and you 86 00:03:43,509 --> 00:03:39,950 can see a lot of stuff all right so 87 00:03:46,090 --> 00:03:43,519 let's see what we can see the earth 88 00:03:47,949 --> 00:03:46,100 system is really pretty complicated this 89 00:03:50,259 --> 00:03:47,959 is based on data it's it's not just 90 00:03:51,759 --> 00:03:50,269 made-up cartoon but it's it's in this 91 00:03:53,470 --> 00:03:51,769 little magnetic bubble there's the 92 00:03:56,290 --> 00:03:53,480 magnetic field lines protected from 93 00:03:59,890 --> 00:03:56,300 particles streaming out from the Sun and 94 00:04:02,140 --> 00:03:59,900 there it is inside the magnetosphere as 95 00:04:04,420 --> 00:04:02,150 you come down further and further into 96 00:04:05,979 --> 00:04:04,430 the system you can start seeing the 97 00:04:08,680 --> 00:04:05,989 currents and this is given to us by 98 00:04:11,199 --> 00:04:08,690 satellites the currents of air moving 99 00:04:13,330 --> 00:04:11,209 around the planet these the fronts the 100 00:04:16,479 --> 00:04:13,340 hurricanes the depressions all those 101 00:04:19,090 --> 00:04:16,489 kinds of things the weather systems does 102 00:04:21,310 --> 00:04:19,100 it come down even deeper you could see 103 00:04:24,010 --> 00:04:21,320 how these air currents push the oceans 104 00:04:26,140 --> 00:04:24,020 along that and various other things that 105 00:04:28,360 --> 00:04:26,150 make the ocean so ocean circulation go 106 00:04:30,400 --> 00:04:28,370 and they are looking at the Gulf Stream 107 00:04:30,679 --> 00:04:30,410 coming up the east coast of the United 108 00:04:33,019 --> 00:04:30,689 States 109 00:04:35,570 --> 00:04:33,029 and now take a deep breath here we go 110 00:04:37,369 --> 00:04:35,580 underwater and all of this is based on 111 00:04:43,719 --> 00:04:37,379 data that we get from our satellite 112 00:04:45,769 --> 00:04:43,729 fleet in orbit oh no I shouldn't happen 113 00:04:50,479 --> 00:04:45,779 did you get us back on track 114 00:04:52,219 --> 00:04:50,489 terrific alright this is what you 115 00:04:55,299 --> 00:04:52,229 actually see with your eye particularly 116 00:04:58,309 --> 00:04:55,309 at night now what's the thing you notice 117 00:05:00,319 --> 00:04:58,319 they saw all the lights look at all the 118 00:05:03,049 --> 00:05:00,329 people millions and millions of people 119 00:05:06,139 --> 00:05:03,059 all doing stuff down there on earth all 120 00:05:08,899 --> 00:05:06,149 busy all using energy and doing 121 00:05:10,699 --> 00:05:08,909 productive and creative things so when 122 00:05:12,589 --> 00:05:10,709 you look at the world from space at 123 00:05:15,409 --> 00:05:12,599 night it kind of looks like that that's 124 00:05:16,909 --> 00:05:15,419 Italy and Excel the industrial regions 125 00:05:19,129 --> 00:05:16,919 all the places where the big cities are 126 00:05:22,249 --> 00:05:19,139 all the great cities lit up like 127 00:05:24,979 --> 00:05:22,259 Christmas trees just beautiful United 128 00:05:26,989 --> 00:05:24,989 States you can see the grid system of 129 00:05:28,459 --> 00:05:26,999 roads out in the middle of the country 130 00:05:30,379 --> 00:05:28,469 even where all the towns are spaced out 131 00:05:32,419 --> 00:05:30,389 on a grid system and look at the big 132 00:05:37,389 --> 00:05:32,429 East Coast conurbations you are a little 133 00:05:43,369 --> 00:05:39,829 how do we know all this how do we see 134 00:05:45,559 --> 00:05:43,379 all this we have 18 satellites 18 135 00:05:47,269 --> 00:05:45,569 satellites have long-term NASA that go 136 00:05:49,609 --> 00:05:47,279 around looking at all kinds of different 137 00:05:51,739 --> 00:05:49,619 things every day they look up rainfall 138 00:05:54,350 --> 00:05:51,749 snow well look at a few things that they 139 00:05:56,929 --> 00:05:54,360 can see some of them go around in orbits 140 00:05:58,339 --> 00:05:56,939 around the equator most of them go in 141 00:06:00,859 --> 00:05:58,349 orbits around the poles so they can 142 00:06:02,179 --> 00:06:00,869 cover the whole world every day and some 143 00:06:03,499 --> 00:06:02,189 of them you can see we call the a train 144 00:06:03,979 --> 00:06:03,509 coming down the left-hand side of the 145 00:06:06,169 --> 00:06:03,989 screen 146 00:06:08,479 --> 00:06:06,179 some of them follow each other along so 147 00:06:10,850 --> 00:06:08,489 we can compare observations from them 148 00:06:14,839 --> 00:06:10,860 and we actually correct each other using 149 00:06:16,369 --> 00:06:14,849 a you know simultaneous observations so 150 00:06:18,859 --> 00:06:16,379 here you are in space your earth this is 151 00:06:21,589 --> 00:06:18,869 a bit speeded up just to make you more 152 00:06:22,869 --> 00:06:21,599 exciting okay but here on space station 153 00:06:25,399 --> 00:06:22,879 looking through the forward window 154 00:06:26,869 --> 00:06:25,409 belting over the planet and I'm going to 155 00:06:29,689 --> 00:06:26,879 show you some of the observations that 156 00:06:33,870 --> 00:06:29,699 we've been able to make only over the 157 00:06:35,820 --> 00:06:33,880 last 20 years since we've satellite 158 00:06:37,290 --> 00:06:35,830 first of all installation that's the 159 00:06:40,170 --> 00:06:37,300 amount of sunlight hitting the world 160 00:06:43,220 --> 00:06:40,180 from outer space outgoing radiation is 161 00:06:46,230 --> 00:06:43,230 the stuff that's being lost for space 162 00:06:49,890 --> 00:06:46,240 precipitation subsurface water 163 00:06:51,690 --> 00:06:49,900 I can see leaf area we could see their 164 00:06:54,240 --> 00:06:51,700 number the amount of green leaves on the 165 00:06:56,460 --> 00:06:54,250 planet and also the amount of tied in 166 00:06:58,590 --> 00:06:56,470 the atmosphere these are observations we 167 00:07:01,800 --> 00:06:58,600 make through space all that every day 168 00:07:03,930 --> 00:07:01,810 everywhere the wind missions the 169 00:07:05,550 --> 00:07:03,940 saltiness of the oceans is kind of a 170 00:07:07,380 --> 00:07:05,560 miracle to me that we can measure the 171 00:07:11,070 --> 00:07:07,390 saltiness of the surface ocean from 172 00:07:13,440 --> 00:07:11,080 space no means how bright the surface is 173 00:07:16,680 --> 00:07:13,450 how reflective it is land temperature 174 00:07:18,390 --> 00:07:16,690 its hotness like various gases like 175 00:07:22,380 --> 00:07:18,400 carbon dioxide nitrogen dioxide those 176 00:07:24,480 --> 00:07:22,390 are pollutants and lost wall gravity 177 00:07:25,920 --> 00:07:24,490 disturbances in the gravity field and 178 00:07:27,750 --> 00:07:25,930 snow and ice and I'll come back to that 179 00:07:30,300 --> 00:07:27,760 later so we're looking at the world in 180 00:07:32,280 --> 00:07:30,310 all kinds of different ways and getting 181 00:07:36,720 --> 00:07:32,290 all these different kinds of data all 182 00:07:37,980 --> 00:07:36,730 the time so I can't talk about orbit 183 00:07:40,230 --> 00:07:37,990 today so I'm just going to talk about 184 00:07:45,240 --> 00:07:40,240 three things I'm talk about the water 185 00:07:47,040 --> 00:07:45,250 cycle as the oceans I'm going to talk 186 00:07:48,750 --> 00:07:47,050 about the land biosphere or the living 187 00:07:51,960 --> 00:07:48,760 things on the land that we can see from 188 00:07:53,550 --> 00:07:51,970 space and last of all I'm going to talk 189 00:07:54,840 --> 00:07:53,560 about what scientists call the 190 00:07:57,480 --> 00:07:54,850 cryosphere but the people that you and 191 00:07:59,400 --> 00:07:57,490 me is is ice and snow ice and snow 192 00:08:01,680 --> 00:07:59,410 everywhere around the world ok so we're 193 00:08:05,100 --> 00:08:01,690 going to get cracking with the water 194 00:08:07,620 --> 00:08:05,110 cycle so you take all the data from 195 00:08:09,990 --> 00:08:07,630 satellites can see and you put it 196 00:08:12,510 --> 00:08:10,000 through a computer and this is the flow 197 00:08:13,980 --> 00:08:12,520 of atmospheric water vapor around the 198 00:08:16,080 --> 00:08:13,990 world you can see it kind of bubbles out 199 00:08:21,080 --> 00:08:16,090 of the equator it gets transported 200 00:08:26,850 --> 00:08:24,330 here's the surface oceans this is the 201 00:08:29,070 --> 00:08:26,860 temperature of the surface oceans as 202 00:08:30,960 --> 00:08:29,080 measured from space so you can see how 203 00:08:33,330 --> 00:08:30,970 much warmer the Equator is than the 204 00:08:34,890 --> 00:08:33,340 poles that's kind of obvious right where 205 00:08:36,810 --> 00:08:34,900 it's icy it's cold and in the middle of 206 00:08:39,540 --> 00:08:36,820 the world it's warm but look at the 207 00:08:41,339 --> 00:08:39,550 middle coming off South America going 208 00:08:43,530 --> 00:08:41,349 across the Pacific you can see these 209 00:08:44,740 --> 00:08:43,540 kind of big waves moving across the 210 00:08:46,260 --> 00:08:44,750 Pacific 211 00:08:48,490 --> 00:08:46,270 that's due to planetary scale 212 00:08:50,770 --> 00:08:48,500 disturbances in the surface of the ocean 213 00:08:53,680 --> 00:08:50,780 and that controls whether actually all 214 00:08:55,000 --> 00:08:53,690 over the Americas El Ninos and la niƱas 215 00:08:57,460 --> 00:08:55,010 you've probably heard of those 216 00:09:02,190 --> 00:08:57,470 so that's surface temperature how warm 217 00:09:04,510 --> 00:09:02,200 the ocean is this is salinity of 218 00:09:07,870 --> 00:09:04,520 saltiness of a surface ocean and we've 219 00:09:10,330 --> 00:09:07,880 only been able to do this since 2012 220 00:09:11,560 --> 00:09:10,340 this is a brand-new measurement before 221 00:09:13,330 --> 00:09:11,570 then the only thing we knew about 222 00:09:15,520 --> 00:09:13,340 saltiness of the ocean was when people 223 00:09:17,680 --> 00:09:15,530 stuck a bucket in the water and measure 224 00:09:19,030 --> 00:09:17,690 the saltiness on a ship so now we can 225 00:09:20,530 --> 00:09:19,040 see it all over the place 226 00:09:22,030 --> 00:09:20,540 and if you look carefully you can see 227 00:09:24,460 --> 00:09:22,040 some really interesting things look at 228 00:09:25,990 --> 00:09:24,470 the Amazon where the Amazon comes out in 229 00:09:29,950 --> 00:09:26,000 the Atlantic you can see a kind of blue 230 00:09:31,750 --> 00:09:29,960 tongue of freshwater coming out you can 231 00:09:34,390 --> 00:09:31,760 see that the Atlantic is a lot saltier 232 00:09:36,010 --> 00:09:34,400 than the Pacific and that's because it 233 00:09:38,410 --> 00:09:36,020 rains harder in the Pacific there's more 234 00:09:40,990 --> 00:09:38,420 freshwater on the surface and you can 235 00:09:45,040 --> 00:09:41,000 see lots of freshwater up where the ice 236 00:09:47,980 --> 00:09:45,050 melts in the summer in the northern ice 237 00:09:50,290 --> 00:09:47,990 cap and down by Antarctica so very 238 00:09:53,050 --> 00:09:50,300 interesting patterns in salinity that we 239 00:09:55,690 --> 00:09:53,060 could never observe a form now salt in 240 00:09:58,150 --> 00:09:55,700 water makes it heavy okay it's a little 241 00:10:00,130 --> 00:09:58,160 bit heavier than freshwater that's why 242 00:10:02,770 --> 00:10:00,140 you floats so well in the Dead Sea the 243 00:10:04,900 --> 00:10:02,780 Mediterranean and also hot water is 244 00:10:06,520 --> 00:10:04,910 lighter than cold water and knowing 245 00:10:10,480 --> 00:10:06,530 these two things how hot the water is 246 00:10:12,730 --> 00:10:10,490 and how salty it is allows you to make a 247 00:10:15,970 --> 00:10:12,740 predictive model of the ocean 248 00:10:17,850 --> 00:10:15,980 circulation so a computer here is 249 00:10:21,070 --> 00:10:17,860 simulating based on those observations 250 00:10:23,380 --> 00:10:21,080 where all the water is going and how its 251 00:10:24,550 --> 00:10:23,390 flowing and we've known this for years 252 00:10:27,520 --> 00:10:24,560 but now we know it in great detail 253 00:10:29,740 --> 00:10:27,530 there's a huge conveyor belt of water 254 00:10:31,690 --> 00:10:29,750 around the planet this water goes round 255 00:10:33,250 --> 00:10:31,700 and round and Arctica and spins off 256 00:10:35,950 --> 00:10:33,260 these loops that go up into the great 257 00:10:38,410 --> 00:10:35,960 ocean basis it goes out pretty quickly 258 00:10:40,600 --> 00:10:38,420 towards the North Pole and then sinks 259 00:10:47,079 --> 00:10:40,610 and comes back very slowly across the 260 00:10:52,910 --> 00:10:49,699 in the atmosphere of water vapor moves 261 00:10:54,620 --> 00:10:52,920 around as clouds or just like steam it 262 00:10:57,380 --> 00:10:54,630 looks like steam water vapor coming out 263 00:11:00,319 --> 00:10:57,390 of your kettle and here the observations 264 00:11:01,910 --> 00:11:00,329 from space again put into a computer we 265 00:11:03,259 --> 00:11:01,920 can find out how much water is moving 266 00:11:05,660 --> 00:11:03,269 through the atmosphere and where it's 267 00:11:07,850 --> 00:11:05,670 going a lot of it gets moved around by 268 00:11:09,889 --> 00:11:07,860 storms as you would imagine that 269 00:11:12,860 --> 00:11:09,899 hurricanes move a lot of a water vapor 270 00:11:14,810 --> 00:11:12,870 away from the equator towards the higher 271 00:11:20,319 --> 00:11:14,820 latitudes where they break up and then 272 00:11:23,930 --> 00:11:21,530 okay 273 00:11:26,030 --> 00:11:23,940 the latest thing in the satellite fleet 274 00:11:30,500 --> 00:11:26,040 that we just launched about a year ago 275 00:11:32,180 --> 00:11:30,510 was the global precipitation mission so 276 00:11:33,470 --> 00:11:32,190 it's a big machine it was built up at 277 00:11:35,000 --> 00:11:33,480 Goddard but you've just down the road 278 00:11:37,310 --> 00:11:35,010 from here it's about the size of a 279 00:11:39,290 --> 00:11:37,320 school bus and it has a radar that can 280 00:11:41,180 --> 00:11:39,300 see inside clouds who see the rain as 281 00:11:43,730 --> 00:11:41,190 it's falling as where there's a 282 00:11:48,110 --> 00:11:43,740 Radiometer that maps the precipitation 283 00:11:50,150 --> 00:11:48,120 over wide areas so this thing scoots 284 00:11:50,829 --> 00:11:50,160 around the world ten times today here it 285 00:11:53,990 --> 00:11:50,839 comes 286 00:11:55,430 --> 00:11:54,000 and it kind of vacuum cleans its way 287 00:11:57,800 --> 00:11:55,440 around the world leaving a little stripe 288 00:11:59,960 --> 00:11:57,810 of data and taking these measurements 289 00:12:03,019 --> 00:11:59,970 and showing us what it's got but it's 290 00:12:04,730 --> 00:12:03,029 not alone there eight other satellites 291 00:12:06,889 --> 00:12:04,740 that belong to some for the US but 292 00:12:10,370 --> 00:12:06,899 mostly to other countries Japan France 293 00:12:12,650 --> 00:12:10,380 Europe Korea and we all combined our 294 00:12:14,810 --> 00:12:12,660 data to get an idea of precipitation 295 00:12:16,850 --> 00:12:14,820 around the world all the time every 296 00:12:21,130 --> 00:12:16,860 three hours in fact our satellites going 297 00:12:25,630 --> 00:12:24,220 so one really spectacular example of the 298 00:12:26,470 --> 00:12:25,640 observation that you can get from these 299 00:12:29,860 --> 00:12:26,480 new satellites 300 00:12:32,550 --> 00:12:29,870 here's GPM shooting over the United 301 00:12:35,980 --> 00:12:32,560 States during the March snow storm and 302 00:12:39,190 --> 00:12:35,990 you can see the warm colors are rain but 303 00:12:41,410 --> 00:12:39,200 the blue color are snow so the first 304 00:12:44,019 --> 00:12:41,420 time we can actually see snow falling in 305 00:12:47,019 --> 00:12:44,029 the clouds then turning into rain is it 306 00:12:47,610 --> 00:12:47,029 gets low atmosphere then falling on the 307 00:12:51,540 --> 00:12:47,620 ground 308 00:12:56,070 --> 00:12:54,240 this is that's kind of 309 00:12:57,650 --> 00:12:56,080 blue puddles that snow that's actually 310 00:13:00,630 --> 00:12:57,660 accumulated on the ground 311 00:13:01,740 --> 00:13:00,640 the stuff falling and we're seeing it 312 00:13:07,020 --> 00:13:01,750 accumulate on the ground 313 00:13:11,490 --> 00:13:09,900 so all of the stuff is useful we need to 314 00:13:12,930 --> 00:13:11,500 know about precipitation we need to know 315 00:13:14,940 --> 00:13:12,940 about the water cycle why is it 316 00:13:17,130 --> 00:13:14,950 important well no one likes to be 317 00:13:19,110 --> 00:13:17,140 flooded no one likes to be in a drought 318 00:13:21,870 --> 00:13:19,120 and no one likes to have a landslides 319 00:13:24,090 --> 00:13:21,880 fall on top of them so we can't stop 320 00:13:25,860 --> 00:13:24,100 those things from space but we can tell 321 00:13:27,930 --> 00:13:25,870 you if they're going to happen and we 322 00:13:30,870 --> 00:13:27,940 can keep an eye on them as they develop 323 00:13:32,070 --> 00:13:30,880 so for morning is this vital and I think 324 00:13:34,740 --> 00:13:32,080 any of you've known who've lived down in 325 00:13:36,900 --> 00:13:34,750 the Gulf states like I have down there 326 00:13:38,820 --> 00:13:36,910 in Texas having a three-day warning for 327 00:13:40,890 --> 00:13:38,830 a hurricane is really good it allows you 328 00:13:46,020 --> 00:13:40,900 to get the dog and the cat in the boxes 329 00:13:47,190 --> 00:13:46,030 and out to somewhere safe all right next 330 00:13:50,460 --> 00:13:47,200 we're going to talk about the land 331 00:13:53,010 --> 00:13:50,470 biosphere for about 30 years now we've 332 00:13:55,680 --> 00:13:53,020 had satellites that can see greenness 333 00:13:58,170 --> 00:13:55,690 green vegetation and this is a 334 00:14:00,750 --> 00:13:58,180 speeded-up movie showing not only the 335 00:14:03,780 --> 00:14:00,760 vegetation on land but also the plankton 336 00:14:05,700 --> 00:14:03,790 in the world's oceans so you can see as 337 00:14:08,340 --> 00:14:05,710 the seasons change you've got this green 338 00:14:11,130 --> 00:14:08,350 wave that moves up and down the the 339 00:14:12,720 --> 00:14:11,140 planet so every summer you have this 340 00:14:14,400 --> 00:14:12,730 wave of greenness goes all the way up 341 00:14:20,330 --> 00:14:14,410 through North America and then the 342 00:14:25,310 --> 00:14:21,860 and here we are we spread it all out 343 00:14:27,830 --> 00:14:25,320 we've calculated how much production how 344 00:14:29,900 --> 00:14:27,840 much growth there is based on these 345 00:14:33,710 --> 00:14:29,910 measurements so here you are you're 346 00:14:36,470 --> 00:14:33,720 looking at how much wood or tissue work 347 00:14:40,100 --> 00:14:36,480 or any bits of plant are being made 348 00:14:42,260 --> 00:14:40,110 every time a green leaf fixes sunlight 349 00:14:43,760 --> 00:14:42,270 and does photosynthesis so you're 350 00:14:45,470 --> 00:14:43,770 actually looking at the heartbeat of the 351 00:14:48,050 --> 00:14:45,480 planet here every year 352 00:14:50,360 --> 00:14:48,060 it sucks down carbon dioxide into green 353 00:14:52,720 --> 00:14:50,370 living things and every winter it throws 354 00:14:55,700 --> 00:14:52,730 it back out again 355 00:14:57,860 --> 00:14:55,710 one of the ways that all this growth 356 00:15:00,620 --> 00:14:57,870 gets back into the internet into the 357 00:15:04,460 --> 00:15:00,630 atmosphere is of course through burning 358 00:15:05,840 --> 00:15:04,470 forests volcanoes but a lot of carbon 359 00:15:09,440 --> 00:15:05,850 dioxide that gets into the atmosphere 360 00:15:14,840 --> 00:15:09,450 comes from power production and us 361 00:15:19,480 --> 00:15:14,850 driving around in cars look slinger your 362 00:15:27,100 --> 00:15:23,949 I can't go forward on this nevermind 363 00:15:30,280 --> 00:15:27,110 okay so overtime because we've been 364 00:15:32,920 --> 00:15:30,290 burning fossil fuels and running around 365 00:15:34,570 --> 00:15:32,930 the cars and things the amount of carbon 366 00:15:36,220 --> 00:15:34,580 dioxide has accumulated in the 367 00:15:37,990 --> 00:15:36,230 atmosphere but it doesn't go up 368 00:15:41,110 --> 00:15:38,000 Stephanie if you look every year it goes 369 00:15:43,210 --> 00:15:41,120 up and down in a kind of cycle and 370 00:15:45,460 --> 00:15:43,220 that's because every summer all the 371 00:15:48,730 --> 00:15:45,470 green forests in the northern hemisphere 372 00:15:50,440 --> 00:15:48,740 suck down carbon dioxide so it goes down 373 00:15:52,870 --> 00:15:50,450 a bit and in the winter it comes back 374 00:15:54,639 --> 00:15:52,880 out again so you see this annual cycle 375 00:15:56,139 --> 00:15:54,649 and of course every year we're adding a 376 00:15:58,389 --> 00:15:56,149 little bit more carbon dioxide through 377 00:16:01,210 --> 00:15:58,399 fossil fuel burning so the trend is 378 00:16:04,120 --> 00:16:01,220 overall upwards now the changing colors 379 00:16:06,519 --> 00:16:04,130 you can see their observations of carbon 380 00:16:09,130 --> 00:16:06,529 dioxide from satellite and you'll notice 381 00:16:10,600 --> 00:16:09,140 that more carbon dioxide is produced in 382 00:16:12,430 --> 00:16:10,610 the northern hemisphere through the 383 00:16:15,160 --> 00:16:12,440 southern hemisphere and that's because 384 00:16:16,300 --> 00:16:15,170 most of us live there most of us live in 385 00:16:18,310 --> 00:16:16,310 the northern hemisphere that's where the 386 00:16:20,320 --> 00:16:18,320 industry is that's where all our cars 387 00:16:22,480 --> 00:16:20,330 are driving around so that's where most 388 00:16:26,820 --> 00:16:22,490 of the carbon dioxide gets released and 389 00:16:31,110 --> 00:16:28,889 okay so we could put these two bits of 390 00:16:33,720 --> 00:16:31,120 information together the kind of yellow 391 00:16:35,460 --> 00:16:33,730 smokey stuff is a satellite observation 392 00:16:38,910 --> 00:16:35,470 of carbon dioxide and the green on the 393 00:16:41,250 --> 00:16:38,920 surface is vegetation and you can see 394 00:16:43,980 --> 00:16:41,260 how there's sort of a correlation 395 00:16:45,360 --> 00:16:43,990 between the two now when it starts to 396 00:16:47,340 --> 00:16:45,370 green up in the northern hemisphere it 397 00:16:49,829 --> 00:16:47,350 sucks down the carbon dioxide into the 398 00:16:52,190 --> 00:16:49,839 trees and in the winter when it all dies 399 00:16:54,930 --> 00:16:52,200 the carbon dioxide comes back out again 400 00:16:57,300 --> 00:16:54,940 so two different satellites are telling 401 00:16:59,610 --> 00:16:57,310 us where the carbon dioxide is going a 402 00:17:01,560 --> 00:16:59,620 lot of it gets sucked into the trees and 403 00:17:06,350 --> 00:17:01,570 about the same amount actually gets into 404 00:17:10,280 --> 00:17:09,770 fires as one-way carbon dioxide gets 405 00:17:12,200 --> 00:17:10,290 back 406 00:17:14,330 --> 00:17:12,210 that's how dead vegetation very quickly 407 00:17:16,730 --> 00:17:14,340 sends stuff back into the atmosphere and 408 00:17:20,420 --> 00:17:16,740 this is a satellite picture showing you 409 00:17:23,840 --> 00:17:20,430 all the fires in Africa as observed from 410 00:17:26,030 --> 00:17:23,850 space changing over the year what's 411 00:17:28,280 --> 00:17:26,040 happening here on sheet is people they 412 00:17:29,750 --> 00:17:28,290 grow their crops and at the end of the 413 00:17:32,660 --> 00:17:29,760 season you've got all this dry stubble 414 00:17:34,490 --> 00:17:32,670 dry trash they just burn it right 415 00:17:36,680 --> 00:17:34,500 so there's fertilize in the fields for 416 00:17:38,000 --> 00:17:36,690 the next year so this has been going on 417 00:17:40,280 --> 00:17:38,010 for thousands of years this is how 418 00:17:45,710 --> 00:17:40,290 people make a living so you can actually 419 00:17:49,460 --> 00:17:45,720 see it from space so someone down there 420 00:17:51,140 --> 00:17:49,470 is working hard other things we can see 421 00:17:53,690 --> 00:17:51,150 from space here's Las Vegas anybody here 422 00:17:56,690 --> 00:17:53,700 from Las Vegas yay well it's got bigger 423 00:17:58,850 --> 00:17:56,700 look at all those golf courses all those 424 00:18:00,620 --> 00:17:58,860 like new houses and things and this Las 425 00:18:03,170 --> 00:18:00,630 Vegas has got bigger over the years this 426 00:18:06,980 --> 00:18:03,180 is Landsat data you can see that Fortin 427 00:18:11,570 --> 00:18:06,990 Lake Mead it's got smaller there's been 428 00:18:13,460 --> 00:18:11,580 some dry years and that combined with 429 00:18:15,610 --> 00:18:13,470 increased demand has has slowed down the 430 00:18:17,720 --> 00:18:15,620 lake a little bit you probably know that 431 00:18:19,670 --> 00:18:17,730 the lowest has ever been right now 432 00:18:22,340 --> 00:18:19,680 that's right big city about twice as big 433 00:18:26,390 --> 00:18:22,350 as it was so we've been used to looking 434 00:18:28,910 --> 00:18:26,400 at this for the last 30 years other 435 00:18:31,070 --> 00:18:28,920 things we can see from space all kinds 436 00:18:32,930 --> 00:18:31,080 of stuff here's some mining activity in 437 00:18:35,270 --> 00:18:32,940 West Virginia where they cut off the top 438 00:18:37,220 --> 00:18:35,280 of the mountain together the call and as 439 00:18:42,180 --> 00:18:37,230 they move out is slowly grows back we've 440 00:18:47,690 --> 00:18:44,369 all kinds of different things here Saudi 441 00:18:50,490 --> 00:18:47,700 Arabia and what you're seeing is people 442 00:18:52,919 --> 00:18:50,500 drilling for water and then starting 443 00:18:55,710 --> 00:18:52,929 irrigation and growing vegetables in the 444 00:18:58,019 --> 00:18:55,720 middle of the desert so incredible 445 00:19:00,659 --> 00:18:58,029 amount of effort to grow food for local 446 00:19:02,009 --> 00:19:00,669 markets out there in Saudi Arabia and 447 00:19:04,499 --> 00:19:02,019 this is true across the whole Middle 448 00:19:07,019 --> 00:19:04,509 East if you've got enough energy to get 449 00:19:13,889 --> 00:19:07,029 the water out from very deep levels you 450 00:19:16,379 --> 00:19:13,899 can have yourself a lettuce all right so 451 00:19:18,480 --> 00:19:16,389 I've been talking about carbon dioxide 452 00:19:19,799 --> 00:19:18,490 of the atmosphere and that's helps to 453 00:19:22,110 --> 00:19:19,809 increase the temperature of the 454 00:19:24,659 --> 00:19:22,120 atmosphere and since we've been watching 455 00:19:26,100 --> 00:19:24,669 since 1890 and making careful 456 00:19:28,110 --> 00:19:26,110 measurements of atmospheric temperature 457 00:19:29,399 --> 00:19:28,120 the world has got warmer and I want you 458 00:19:30,930 --> 00:19:29,409 to look at this picture very carefully 459 00:19:32,970 --> 00:19:30,940 and see if you could tell me two things 460 00:19:36,779 --> 00:19:32,980 about what's going on so I come into the 461 00:19:39,419 --> 00:19:36,789 90s the world's getting warmer and there 462 00:19:44,020 --> 00:19:39,429 we stopped at 2013 so what two things 463 00:19:49,270 --> 00:19:46,150 it's got warmer everywhere but where 464 00:19:53,080 --> 00:19:49,280 does he got warmer most quickly North 465 00:19:55,030 --> 00:19:53,090 Pole it's twice as warm two and a half 466 00:19:58,090 --> 00:19:55,040 times warmer at the war at the North 467 00:20:00,250 --> 00:19:58,100 Pole then of the planetary average now 468 00:20:02,920 --> 00:20:00,260 why is that exactly there's a very good 469 00:20:11,410 --> 00:20:02,930 reason well get to it I'm gonna tell you 470 00:20:16,060 --> 00:20:11,420 so I bet you know the answer but I'll 471 00:20:19,120 --> 00:20:16,070 show you okay it's it's so warming up at 472 00:20:22,210 --> 00:20:19,130 the North Pole because the ice has been 473 00:20:23,290 --> 00:20:22,220 decreasing over the last century as far 474 00:20:27,040 --> 00:20:23,300 as we could tell we've only been 475 00:20:28,780 --> 00:20:27,050 watching it from space since 1979 but 476 00:20:31,600 --> 00:20:28,790 the amount of Arctic sea ice is 477 00:20:34,390 --> 00:20:31,610 decreasing and what happens when you 478 00:20:37,450 --> 00:20:34,400 melt nice white bright ice that reflects 479 00:20:39,790 --> 00:20:37,460 sunlight you expose pretty much black 480 00:20:41,440 --> 00:20:39,800 water and that absorbs sunlight warms up 481 00:20:44,710 --> 00:20:41,450 a bit more and nibbles away at another 482 00:20:46,000 --> 00:20:44,720 bit of ice so it's a runaway feedback as 483 00:20:48,190 --> 00:20:46,010 the water gets warm it melts more ice 484 00:20:51,310 --> 00:20:48,200 which was more water which melts more 485 00:20:55,660 --> 00:20:51,320 ice so it accelerates and you can see 486 00:20:58,000 --> 00:20:55,670 how over the last decade or so there's 487 00:21:00,130 --> 00:20:58,010 been a real downturn in Arctic sea ice 488 00:21:02,130 --> 00:21:00,140 and our models predict if this keeps 489 00:21:05,410 --> 00:21:02,140 going you'll be able to get in a kayak 490 00:21:07,960 --> 00:21:05,420 sometime maybe in the 20 60 s or 20 70 s 491 00:21:09,550 --> 00:21:07,970 and kayak right over the North Pole in 492 00:21:11,590 --> 00:21:09,560 the middle of summer there won't be any 493 00:21:13,360 --> 00:21:11,600 ice you'll be able to go right over the 494 00:21:15,340 --> 00:21:13,370 top it'll freeze up again in the winter 495 00:21:19,540 --> 00:21:15,350 when it gets real cold but you'll have 496 00:21:22,330 --> 00:21:19,550 an ice-free Polar ocean at the end of 497 00:21:23,620 --> 00:21:22,340 summer so these are all satellite 498 00:21:25,720 --> 00:21:23,630 observations we have a satellite that 499 00:21:28,690 --> 00:21:25,730 could see through clouds and can measure 500 00:21:33,440 --> 00:21:28,700 the amount of ice area very well it's 501 00:21:39,169 --> 00:21:36,169 and this is the observation turned into 502 00:21:41,149 --> 00:21:39,179 a kind of a movie and you can see ice 503 00:21:43,339 --> 00:21:41,159 isn't this sort of static boring stuff 504 00:21:45,169 --> 00:21:43,349 it moves around depending on the winds 505 00:21:48,469 --> 00:21:45,179 and the currents it's kind of a life 506 00:21:51,859 --> 00:21:48,479 here it is his winter ice up and the ice 507 00:21:55,069 --> 00:21:51,869 slides down around Greenland and Iceland 508 00:21:57,379 --> 00:21:55,079 and kind of like custard moves around 509 00:21:59,239 --> 00:21:57,389 all over the place but the retreats in 510 00:22:05,560 --> 00:21:59,249 the summer but the winds and the 511 00:22:10,780 --> 00:22:09,070 and here's the winds and you can see how 512 00:22:14,670 --> 00:22:10,790 the wind field tends to push the ice 513 00:22:17,530 --> 00:22:14,680 over on top of Greenland and Canada 514 00:22:20,920 --> 00:22:17,540 preferentially and away from Alaska and 515 00:22:23,260 --> 00:22:20,930 the Russian North Russian coast which is 516 00:22:28,590 --> 00:22:23,270 why the ice extent is disappearing there 517 00:22:33,149 --> 00:22:31,620 okay now there's another interesting 518 00:22:35,610 --> 00:22:33,159 thing is that the sea ice around 519 00:22:37,560 --> 00:22:35,620 Antarctica is about the same it's not 520 00:22:39,690 --> 00:22:37,570 really changing much or maybe even 521 00:22:43,830 --> 00:22:39,700 growing a tiny little bit whereas an 522 00:22:46,590 --> 00:22:43,840 Arctic it's decreasing a lot why is that 523 00:22:50,190 --> 00:22:46,600 well Antarctica is a continent 524 00:22:52,680 --> 00:22:50,200 surrounded by an ocean whereas the North 525 00:22:55,409 --> 00:22:52,690 Pole is an ocean surrounded by 526 00:22:57,330 --> 00:22:55,419 continents completely different systems 527 00:22:59,039 --> 00:22:57,340 in Antarctica there's a kind of a wind 528 00:23:01,379 --> 00:22:59,049 field that goes around there and it 529 00:23:04,070 --> 00:23:01,389 helps keep the cold in but even now 530 00:23:08,669 --> 00:23:04,080 we're seeing decreasing ice on top of 531 00:23:10,619 --> 00:23:08,679 the continent top Antarctica one of the 532 00:23:12,629 --> 00:23:10,629 ways we do that is to find out where the 533 00:23:13,310 --> 00:23:12,639 ice is going is to use a radar from 534 00:23:15,659 --> 00:23:13,320 space 535 00:23:18,299 --> 00:23:15,669 Tuukka see how fast the ice is moving 536 00:23:20,580 --> 00:23:18,309 and this is speed it up okay obviously 537 00:23:23,009 --> 00:23:20,590 but you can see how the ice collects 538 00:23:27,860 --> 00:23:23,019 into glaciers and then drops into the 539 00:23:32,360 --> 00:23:30,010 first of all I thought this was lemmings 540 00:23:40,280 --> 00:23:32,370 but no it's not this is actually ice 541 00:23:45,380 --> 00:23:42,470 now what's happening in Antarctica and 542 00:23:46,970 --> 00:23:45,390 Greenland is a process that's very 543 00:23:49,550 --> 00:23:46,980 simple but people hadn't thought of it 544 00:23:51,530 --> 00:23:49,560 before when the ice starts melting some 545 00:23:52,820 --> 00:23:51,540 of the water wiggles this way down to 546 00:23:55,580 --> 00:23:52,830 the cracks in the ice and it gets 547 00:23:58,580 --> 00:23:55,590 between the rock and the ice and that 548 00:24:01,250 --> 00:23:58,590 works like you know like butter and the 549 00:24:04,610 --> 00:24:01,260 ice can slide off more easily into the 550 00:24:06,560 --> 00:24:04,620 into the ocean and on Greenland we've 551 00:24:09,620 --> 00:24:06,570 seen the speed of the glaciers and 552 00:24:11,090 --> 00:24:09,630 double quite recently over the last 20 553 00:24:12,680 --> 00:24:11,100 years so the accelerate you know they 554 00:24:14,690 --> 00:24:12,690 call it the galloping glaciers these 555 00:24:16,160 --> 00:24:14,700 guys are speeding up and falling into 556 00:24:21,350 --> 00:24:16,170 the ocean much quicker than they used to 557 00:24:23,840 --> 00:24:21,360 and there's a magical way we can see 558 00:24:25,970 --> 00:24:23,850 this at work we have two satellites that 559 00:24:27,650 --> 00:24:25,980 chase each other around the world and 560 00:24:29,840 --> 00:24:27,660 when the lead one goes over something 561 00:24:31,910 --> 00:24:29,850 heavy it drops down a little bit and the 562 00:24:34,310 --> 00:24:31,920 trailing one measures its distance using 563 00:24:36,530 --> 00:24:34,320 radio you can see how fast it's gone 564 00:24:38,810 --> 00:24:36,540 down and the reverse when the trailing 565 00:24:40,780 --> 00:24:38,820 one goes over something heavy so you can 566 00:24:42,520 --> 00:24:40,790 keep track of the different amounts of 567 00:24:46,220 --> 00:24:42,530 material that's on the Earth's surface 568 00:24:48,890 --> 00:24:46,230 using the systems called grace and 569 00:24:51,410 --> 00:24:48,900 basically you can weigh the amount of 570 00:24:54,740 --> 00:24:51,420 ice on Greenland using this technique 571 00:24:57,530 --> 00:24:54,750 you can figure out how much the mass of 572 00:25:00,380 --> 00:24:57,540 ice is stacked up on Greenland and here 573 00:25:02,420 --> 00:25:00,390 you are from since 2003 2010 that's the 574 00:25:04,610 --> 00:25:02,430 only record we have since we invented 575 00:25:07,100 --> 00:25:04,620 this thing and you can see that the ice 576 00:25:09,290 --> 00:25:07,110 goes down every summer as it melts or 577 00:25:11,270 --> 00:25:09,300 recovers a bit in winter as it snows it 578 00:25:15,260 --> 00:25:11,280 goes down again in the next summer but 579 00:25:18,830 --> 00:25:15,270 overall were losing ice and very fast at 580 00:25:21,890 --> 00:25:18,840 the rate of about 200 or 300 Giga tons a 581 00:25:25,250 --> 00:25:21,900 year now a Giga ton is a cube of ice 582 00:25:27,050 --> 00:25:25,260 that's half a mile on a side it's out a 583 00:25:30,560 --> 00:25:27,060 big cube of ice okay it's actually a 584 00:25:32,480 --> 00:25:30,570 kilometer on a side so 200 to 300 Giga 585 00:25:34,730 --> 00:25:32,490 tons of ice every year falling off 586 00:25:40,340 --> 00:25:34,740 Greenland into the ocean are not being 587 00:25:45,800 --> 00:25:42,540 and we've had a satellite that's been 588 00:25:48,630 --> 00:25:45,810 was observing the height of the ice 589 00:25:51,810 --> 00:25:48,640 early on in this decade they'd only last 590 00:25:54,480 --> 00:25:51,820 about three years so after that we had a 591 00:25:56,370 --> 00:25:54,490 fill-in using aircraft and here's 592 00:25:58,020 --> 00:25:56,380 aircraft bravely struggling through the 593 00:26:01,200 --> 00:25:58,030 polar ice clouds to measure of the ice 594 00:26:02,790 --> 00:26:01,210 over Antarctica it's a lot of fun by the 595 00:26:04,500 --> 00:26:02,800 way you know stand up there in a window 596 00:26:07,140 --> 00:26:04,510 and look out the ice gets go blazing by 597 00:26:08,190 --> 00:26:07,150 quite beautiful but but there's a whole 598 00:26:09,720 --> 00:26:08,200 lot of instruments here that are 599 00:26:13,380 --> 00:26:09,730 measuring the amount of snow and ice 600 00:26:14,850 --> 00:26:13,390 that's stacked up this is Antarctica all 601 00:26:19,050 --> 00:26:14,860 the mountains down there really 602 00:26:21,260 --> 00:26:19,060 beautiful and you're nice and warm in 603 00:26:24,780 --> 00:26:21,270 you don't have to tough it out there 604 00:26:26,100 --> 00:26:24,790 like a monster mascot or anything so 605 00:26:27,540 --> 00:26:26,110 we're using aircraft now because we 606 00:26:34,110 --> 00:26:27,550 don't have a satellite to measure the 607 00:26:35,940 --> 00:26:34,120 ice depth but very soon in 2017 we hope 608 00:26:37,950 --> 00:26:35,950 we'll be launching a satellite that's 609 00:26:41,610 --> 00:26:37,960 going to use lasers to determine the 610 00:26:43,290 --> 00:26:41,620 exact height of the ice pack and this 611 00:26:45,090 --> 00:26:43,300 will tell us how quickly the ice is 612 00:26:47,130 --> 00:26:45,100 going down it also tell us how much ice 613 00:26:49,290 --> 00:26:47,140 there is in the oceans and it'll tell us 614 00:26:51,540 --> 00:26:49,300 how quickly the ice is moving off the 615 00:26:52,590 --> 00:26:51,550 continents into the ocean so that's 616 00:26:54,240 --> 00:26:52,600 something to look forward to 617 00:27:00,150 --> 00:26:54,250 we've been working on that and Goddard 618 00:27:03,390 --> 00:27:01,410 we have many different ways of 619 00:27:06,030 --> 00:27:03,400 estimating the amount of ice it's and 620 00:27:07,620 --> 00:27:06,040 they sort of agree the completely 621 00:27:09,540 --> 00:27:07,630 independent methods they sort of agree 622 00:27:12,390 --> 00:27:09,550 and they're showing God on average were 623 00:27:15,270 --> 00:27:12,400 losing about two hundred and fifty Giga 624 00:27:19,220 --> 00:27:15,280 tons of ice off the landmass into the 625 00:27:21,750 --> 00:27:19,230 oceans every year so where does it go 626 00:27:24,900 --> 00:27:21,760 well a couple things are going on the 627 00:27:27,030 --> 00:27:24,910 oceans getting warmer a bit warmer every 628 00:27:28,740 --> 00:27:27,040 year so it's getting thicker and fatter 629 00:27:31,470 --> 00:27:28,750 because water swells up a little bit 630 00:27:35,460 --> 00:27:31,480 because it gets warmer that's among the 631 00:27:37,350 --> 00:27:35,470 oceans and if you combine the ice that's 632 00:27:39,420 --> 00:27:37,360 falling in off the air Greenland 633 00:27:43,470 --> 00:27:39,430 Antarctica with a warming of the oceans 634 00:27:47,520 --> 00:27:43,480 the sea height goes up and here we see 635 00:27:51,540 --> 00:27:47,530 were measuring sea level from space 636 00:27:53,520 --> 00:27:51,550 using lasers from 93 to 2015 and that's 637 00:27:55,380 --> 00:27:53,530 about three inches just gone up about 638 00:27:57,690 --> 00:27:55,390 three inches over that time I've 639 00:28:02,850 --> 00:27:57,700 actually seen the sea level all around 640 00:28:08,669 --> 00:28:05,250 so what's going to happen well we think 641 00:28:10,649 --> 00:28:08,679 because the ice loss were the most 642 00:28:13,620 --> 00:28:10,659 likely between now and the end of this 643 00:28:17,370 --> 00:28:13,630 century 2100 sea level will rise 644 00:28:18,120 --> 00:28:17,380 probably one to three feet something 645 00:28:20,820 --> 00:28:18,130 like that 646 00:28:23,810 --> 00:28:20,830 about that much quite a lot which is not 647 00:28:26,899 --> 00:28:23,820 a problem in DC but in Florida and 648 00:28:32,149 --> 00:28:26,909 Bangladesh and a lot of coastal regions 649 00:28:36,149 --> 00:28:34,980 so all my friends who work on the ice 650 00:28:37,590 --> 00:28:36,159 they like to go out there and you see 651 00:28:40,110 --> 00:28:37,600 them working away on the ice if you look 652 00:28:41,340 --> 00:28:40,120 there's two interested spectators the 653 00:28:43,710 --> 00:28:41,350 Penguins always like to come and watch 654 00:28:45,389 --> 00:28:43,720 people working away you see us - 655 00:28:47,490 --> 00:28:45,399 penguins standing there at the edge on 656 00:28:50,509 --> 00:28:47,500 top there and they just sit there taking 657 00:28:54,810 --> 00:28:50,519 notes and see what they can find out 658 00:28:56,110 --> 00:28:54,820 they're curious creatures you saw 659 00:28:58,510 --> 00:28:56,120 penguin 660 00:29:02,260 --> 00:28:58,520 good for you 661 00:29:05,169 --> 00:29:02,270 so this is a computer model of Earth so 662 00:29:06,790 --> 00:29:05,179 all the satellite observations we get we 663 00:29:09,910 --> 00:29:06,800 put in a computer model to combine them 664 00:29:11,860 --> 00:29:09,920 and two gazillion calculations and can 665 00:29:14,020 --> 00:29:11,870 calculate the movement of air currents 666 00:29:16,180 --> 00:29:14,030 and clouds and you can see this looks 667 00:29:18,870 --> 00:29:16,190 like the real thing this is a computer 668 00:29:21,370 --> 00:29:18,880 simulation and we use it for prediction 669 00:29:23,710 --> 00:29:21,380 weather prediction and another version 670 00:29:25,030 --> 00:29:23,720 but climate prediction but look how 671 00:29:26,830 --> 00:29:25,040 realistic it is you can see all the 672 00:29:29,410 --> 00:29:26,840 little cumulus clouds a little puffy 673 00:29:31,780 --> 00:29:29,420 clouds you can see giant streams of air 674 00:29:33,940 --> 00:29:31,790 going across the oceans you can see ice 675 00:29:35,680 --> 00:29:33,950 coming and going and snow coming and 676 00:29:37,120 --> 00:29:35,690 going over the land and you can see the 677 00:29:40,299 --> 00:29:37,130 green is changing this is all a 678 00:29:42,730 --> 00:29:40,309 simulation but a realistic one it's a 679 00:29:45,450 --> 00:29:42,740 little toy world and that's what we use 680 00:29:47,590 --> 00:29:45,460 to try and understand the earth system 681 00:29:51,340 --> 00:29:47,600 that's how we try and make sense of it 682 00:29:54,250 --> 00:29:51,350 all so is this useful yeah you bet here 683 00:29:57,700 --> 00:29:54,260 comes sandy there comes sandy look at it 684 00:29:58,299 --> 00:29:57,710 well three days ahead before it turned 685 00:30:01,210 --> 00:29:58,309 left 686 00:30:03,370 --> 00:30:01,220 whacked into New York and New Jersey we 687 00:30:05,500 --> 00:30:03,380 knew it was going to do that with high 688 00:30:07,180 --> 00:30:05,510 confidence we knew that's going to head 689 00:30:10,000 --> 00:30:07,190 out in the Atlantic and then turn left 690 00:30:12,010 --> 00:30:10,010 and come back in why was that useful 691 00:30:13,690 --> 00:30:12,020 well everybody in New Jersey in New York 692 00:30:15,160 --> 00:30:13,700 was happy because they got to know three 693 00:30:17,500 --> 00:30:15,170 days ahead of time that he was going to 694 00:30:19,720 --> 00:30:17,510 hit them but think of all the people on 695 00:30:21,940 --> 00:30:19,730 the eastern seaboard who didn't live in 696 00:30:24,640 --> 00:30:21,950 New Jersey or New York who did not have 697 00:30:26,620 --> 00:30:24,650 to evacuate who didn't have to pick up 698 00:30:28,990 --> 00:30:26,630 everything and go so as a massive 699 00:30:31,390 --> 00:30:29,000 avoided cost from knowing what the 700 00:30:33,250 --> 00:30:31,400 weather's going to do to you this wasn't 701 00:30:36,250 --> 00:30:33,260 possible 20 years ago wasn't even 702 00:30:37,720 --> 00:30:36,260 possible ten years ago so what's one 703 00:30:42,040 --> 00:30:37,730 advantage of the whole satellite 704 00:30:43,120 --> 00:30:42,050 modeling system tells you a lot so this 705 00:30:45,370 --> 00:30:43,130 is what the world's going to look like 706 00:30:48,190 --> 00:30:45,380 in 20 years I'm just kidding it's the 707 00:30:49,840 --> 00:30:48,200 Sun that's all right there's a Sun all 708 00:30:51,700 --> 00:30:49,850 right this is a picture of some taken 709 00:30:53,500 --> 00:30:51,710 from another satellite and these things 710 00:30:55,570 --> 00:30:53,510 are called coronal mass ejections are 711 00:30:57,820 --> 00:30:55,580 really cool this is where the Sun throws 712 00:30:59,590 --> 00:30:57,830 out a whole lot of gas and stuff and it 713 00:31:00,200 --> 00:30:59,600 gets twisted around in magnetic fields 714 00:31:02,330 --> 00:31:00,210 and falls by 715 00:31:03,740 --> 00:31:02,340 down again very dramatic but you don't 716 00:31:06,740 --> 00:31:03,750 wanna get too close you'll lose your 717 00:31:09,530 --> 00:31:06,750 eyebrows some people thought for a while 718 00:31:12,110 --> 00:31:09,540 that changes in the solar output how 719 00:31:13,880 --> 00:31:12,120 productive how hot the Sun was made 720 00:31:16,100 --> 00:31:13,890 changes in weather well if that's true 721 00:31:18,110 --> 00:31:16,110 over the millions and millions of years 722 00:31:20,510 --> 00:31:18,120 time scale or the billions of year time 723 00:31:22,340 --> 00:31:20,520 scale but it's not the cause of the 724 00:31:24,590 --> 00:31:22,350 recent warming is the carbon dioxide 725 00:31:26,180 --> 00:31:24,600 that we're putting in the atmosphere but 726 00:31:31,460 --> 00:31:26,190 it's a cool picture don't this how to 727 00:31:34,220 --> 00:31:31,470 show it talk about that so all the 728 00:31:37,220 --> 00:31:34,230 wisdom all the models and things that we 729 00:31:39,320 --> 00:31:37,230 use one graph this is the sort of 730 00:31:42,350 --> 00:31:39,330 billion dollar graph if you like I 731 00:31:47,210 --> 00:31:42,360 wanted just the amount of warming that 732 00:31:50,120 --> 00:31:47,220 we can expect to get a country exact is 733 00:31:52,520 --> 00:31:50,130 completely how much oil and gas we burn 734 00:31:55,370 --> 00:31:52,530 so I want you to look at whether it says 735 00:31:57,230 --> 00:31:55,380 500 gigatons of carbon burn on the 736 00:31:59,000 --> 00:31:57,240 bottom that's where we are now we've 737 00:32:03,710 --> 00:31:59,010 increased to the earth by one degree 738 00:32:05,810 --> 00:32:03,720 grade that's one Fahrenheit from the 739 00:32:08,450 --> 00:32:05,820 beginning of the revolution I've got a 740 00:32:09,710 --> 00:32:08,460 bit of coal and decided to burn it not a 741 00:32:10,310 --> 00:32:09,720 bad thing that's why we all have these 742 00:32:14,120 --> 00:32:10,320 beautiful 743 00:32:15,770 --> 00:32:14,130 you know buildings good luck without 744 00:32:17,990 --> 00:32:15,780 your dust revolution I wouldn't be 745 00:32:20,630 --> 00:32:18,000 standing here with a clicker alright so 746 00:32:24,170 --> 00:32:20,640 here for that but you can see if we kept 747 00:32:25,970 --> 00:32:24,180 doing what we're doing is unlikely the 748 00:32:27,590 --> 00:32:25,980 coal there was we'd have a very hot 749 00:32:29,630 --> 00:32:27,600 planet four degrees warmer and that 750 00:32:33,170 --> 00:32:29,640 wouldn't be very healthy in a lot of 751 00:32:35,210 --> 00:32:33,180 places so somewhere between now and 2100 752 00:32:36,580 --> 00:32:35,220 we're probably going to change did we do 753 00:32:39,760 --> 00:32:36,590 things 754 00:32:41,140 --> 00:32:39,770 and by every indication to be able to 755 00:32:45,820 --> 00:32:41,150 level off somewhere between two and 756 00:32:48,550 --> 00:32:45,830 three degree walk quite likely why do i 757 00:32:51,550 --> 00:32:48,560 why my optimistic that people make the 758 00:32:55,600 --> 00:32:51,560 right choice because we have an example 759 00:32:56,980 --> 00:32:55,610 who here remembers the ozone hole there 760 00:32:58,630 --> 00:32:56,990 you go so there was a hole in the ozone 761 00:32:59,560 --> 00:32:58,640 over there's over Antarctica we could 762 00:33:03,310 --> 00:32:59,570 see it with a satellite 763 00:33:05,920 --> 00:33:03,320 oh no it's growing through the 80s and 764 00:33:09,610 --> 00:33:05,930 90s than the early 2000s so what 765 00:33:11,950 --> 00:33:09,620 happened well the scientist said it's 766 00:33:13,600 --> 00:33:11,960 happening they reported the satellite 767 00:33:15,610 --> 00:33:13,610 data they went down to Antarctica 768 00:33:18,060 --> 00:33:15,620 measured all the ozone they did all that 769 00:33:20,260 --> 00:33:18,070 stuff and then they came and told the UN 770 00:33:22,000 --> 00:33:20,270 and the UN got all the countries in the 771 00:33:26,110 --> 00:33:22,010 world and they signed all these treaties 772 00:33:27,370 --> 00:33:26,120 that reduced the amount of material that 773 00:33:28,990 --> 00:33:27,380 was going up there that was eating up 774 00:33:30,580 --> 00:33:29,000 the ozone hole took years I mean look 775 00:33:32,500 --> 00:33:30,590 all these treaties it took forever to do 776 00:33:34,240 --> 00:33:32,510 it you've probably heard the Montreal 777 00:33:35,770 --> 00:33:34,250 Protocol was the first one by the way 778 00:33:37,840 --> 00:33:35,780 there's one of our scientists sitting at 779 00:33:39,490 --> 00:33:37,850 the back eating some chips that's 780 00:33:41,440 --> 00:33:39,500 putting his name is Paul Newman he's not 781 00:33:42,820 --> 00:33:41,450 related to the other Paul Newman but he 782 00:33:45,270 --> 00:33:42,830 was one of the guys who found the ozone 783 00:33:47,440 --> 00:33:45,280 hole and did the work to persuade 784 00:33:52,600 --> 00:33:47,450 politicians that poor you ought to do 785 00:33:54,610 --> 00:33:52,610 something about it so as a result of you 786 00:33:56,260 --> 00:33:54,620 know policymakers working really hard to 787 00:33:58,750 --> 00:33:56,270 understand the problem and passing the 788 00:34:01,360 --> 00:33:58,760 right laws we have the world that's 789 00:34:03,520 --> 00:34:01,370 projected if we hadn't done anything and 790 00:34:04,780 --> 00:34:03,530 the world avoided sorry the world 791 00:34:06,190 --> 00:34:04,790 projected which is what we think it's 792 00:34:08,800 --> 00:34:06,200 going to happen now we've got these laws 793 00:34:10,180 --> 00:34:08,810 in place and the world avoided which 794 00:34:12,370 --> 00:34:10,190 what would have happened if we'd kept 795 00:34:15,100 --> 00:34:12,380 eating away at the ozone hole and right 796 00:34:16,930 --> 00:34:15,110 about 2040 you can see there's a zone is 797 00:34:19,150 --> 00:34:16,940 almost disappearing in the right hand 798 00:34:21,940 --> 00:34:19,160 screen which is what would have happened 799 00:34:24,010 --> 00:34:21,950 at this point you've got crop damage a 800 00:34:26,560 --> 00:34:24,020 lot of health there are a lot of health 801 00:34:28,470 --> 00:34:26,570 risks to people the plankton on the 802 00:34:32,290 --> 00:34:28,480 surface ocean is in pretty bad shape 803 00:34:33,970 --> 00:34:32,300 so we avoided that and woke up we did 804 00:34:36,790 --> 00:34:33,980 things we avoided that and we expect to 805 00:34:39,010 --> 00:34:36,800 have actually a world that's pre ozone 806 00:34:41,470 --> 00:34:39,020 hole by the 2060s will be back to where 807 00:34:44,490 --> 00:34:41,480 we should be so we will have fixed the 808 00:34:48,490 --> 00:34:44,500 problem not bad 809 00:34:52,720 --> 00:34:48,500 so reasons for optimism this is the 810 00:34:54,760 --> 00:34:52,730 world in Christmas 1968 and there's 811 00:34:57,730 --> 00:34:54,770 three billion people out there on that 812 00:34:59,290 --> 00:34:57,740 planet minus three because three of them 813 00:35:02,710 --> 00:34:59,300 had to be in a spacecraft taking this 814 00:35:08,980 --> 00:35:02,720 photo okay so three billion people in 815 00:35:12,670 --> 00:35:08,990 1968 and here is seven billion people 816 00:35:13,840 --> 00:35:12,680 now in all the cities of the world more 817 00:35:17,200 --> 00:35:13,850 than half them in the cities of the 818 00:35:19,570 --> 00:35:17,210 world now 7 billion people minus six who 819 00:35:23,170 --> 00:35:19,580 are on Space Station okay there you go 820 00:35:24,790 --> 00:35:23,180 so there's a lot of us there so you know 821 00:35:26,560 --> 00:35:24,800 so far we've managed to do a pretty good 822 00:35:28,570 --> 00:35:26,570 job of getting from 3 billion to 7 823 00:35:29,650 --> 00:35:28,580 billion without you know totally 824 00:35:32,100 --> 00:35:29,660 destroying the planet we're doing quite 825 00:35:35,490 --> 00:35:32,110 well so that's why I'm optimistic 826 00:35:38,200 --> 00:35:35,500 because I believe that everybody is born 827 00:35:40,720 --> 00:35:38,210 all you young people out there you're 828 00:35:42,550 --> 00:35:40,730 smart you're resourceful and you bring 829 00:35:44,950 --> 00:35:42,560 the solutions with you that will help 830 00:35:46,870 --> 00:35:44,960 get us where we should be going and fix 831 00:35:49,000 --> 00:35:46,880 the problems that confront us I have 832 00:35:51,460 --> 00:35:49,010 great faith in the resourcefulness of 833 00:35:57,930 --> 00:35:51,470 human beings so with that I'll stop 834 00:36:02,700 --> 00:35:59,490 come have a seat and we'll do some 835 00:36:07,319 --> 00:36:02,710 questions all right that was me by the 836 00:36:10,440 --> 00:36:07,329 way I wasn't the ID back good lucky well 837 00:36:11,970 --> 00:36:10,450 I wanted to ask a question first as an 838 00:36:13,710 --> 00:36:11,980 astronaut and someone who's traveled T 839 00:36:16,470 --> 00:36:13,720 International Space Station you're 840 00:36:18,480 --> 00:36:16,480 travelling about 220 miles above the 841 00:36:21,150 --> 00:36:18,490 earth how far up are the satellites that 842 00:36:22,710 --> 00:36:21,160 are making these observations very few 843 00:36:24,270 --> 00:36:22,720 of them are down there because there's 844 00:36:26,339 --> 00:36:24,280 quite a lot of drag from the atmosphere 845 00:36:29,579 --> 00:36:26,349 most of them the ones that was showing 846 00:36:32,640 --> 00:36:29,589 there up there at about 700 kilometers 847 00:36:34,620 --> 00:36:32,650 which is about 500 miles 500 miles up 848 00:36:37,589 --> 00:36:34,630 but they still go around the world about 849 00:36:39,480 --> 00:36:37,599 one hour every takes up an hour and 40 850 00:36:41,640 --> 00:36:39,490 minutes to get around and when you were 851 00:36:43,829 --> 00:36:41,650 up in space those different times did 852 00:36:45,660 --> 00:36:43,839 you make any observations of your own 853 00:36:47,550 --> 00:36:45,670 either with a photograph or just your 854 00:36:49,920 --> 00:36:47,560 eyes of changes that you were seeing 855 00:36:52,920 --> 00:36:49,930 over the course of those years one thing 856 00:36:54,510 --> 00:36:52,930 there was Pavan see changes over the 857 00:36:57,270 --> 00:36:54,520 between the missions that I could tell 858 00:37:02,609 --> 00:36:57,280 but you could see where people were you 859 00:37:05,210 --> 00:37:02,619 could see the cities in the West like 860 00:37:08,160 --> 00:37:05,220 Europe and North America are very clean 861 00:37:09,540 --> 00:37:08,170 so the last 20 years apparently that all 862 00:37:11,490 --> 00:37:09,550 the Clean Air Act's have cleaned up the 863 00:37:14,010 --> 00:37:11,500 air over the cities the air is good a 864 00:37:17,430 --> 00:37:14,020 lot of the industrial centers in India 865 00:37:18,420 --> 00:37:17,440 and China very thick smog you see 866 00:37:21,460 --> 00:37:18,430 they're still because they're still 867 00:37:26,980 --> 00:37:23,140 to do their industry let's go to a 868 00:37:29,349 --> 00:37:26,990 question from the audience when you um 869 00:37:31,599 --> 00:37:29,359 go into speech how do you when you're 870 00:37:35,230 --> 00:37:31,609 very close to the earth how do you not 871 00:37:37,300 --> 00:37:35,240 fall down how do you not fall down on 872 00:37:41,260 --> 00:37:37,310 there okay like when you're very close 873 00:37:44,080 --> 00:37:41,270 to it let me take that video it's one of 874 00:37:47,980 --> 00:37:44,090 these amazing things though what happens 875 00:37:50,440 --> 00:37:47,990 is if you go really really fast around 876 00:37:53,859 --> 00:37:50,450 the world if you go really fast 877 00:37:55,420 --> 00:37:53,869 you are falling but the world is curving 878 00:37:56,830 --> 00:37:55,430 away from you at the same rate that 879 00:37:58,210 --> 00:37:56,840 you're falling so you're always falling 880 00:38:00,730 --> 00:37:58,220 we just keep falling around the world 881 00:38:02,500 --> 00:38:00,740 you never actually hit it you have to be 882 00:38:06,150 --> 00:38:02,510 going very fast to do that you have to 883 00:38:09,270 --> 00:38:06,160 be going five miles per second alright 884 00:38:12,010 --> 00:38:09,280 that's fast good question 885 00:38:17,970 --> 00:38:12,020 next question for uh we have an online 886 00:38:22,900 --> 00:38:20,470 what technological advancements in your 887 00:38:27,460 --> 00:38:22,910 career has had the greatest impact on 888 00:38:30,370 --> 00:38:27,470 our ability to study the earth I would 889 00:38:31,930 --> 00:38:30,380 say it's a combination of things to my 890 00:38:33,820 --> 00:38:31,940 mind it's been a combination of 891 00:38:37,030 --> 00:38:33,830 satellite senses that we wouldn't even 892 00:38:39,310 --> 00:38:37,040 dreamed off you know 30 years ago 30 893 00:38:41,050 --> 00:38:39,320 years ago we're using stuffers not much 894 00:38:42,400 --> 00:38:41,060 better than the TV camera to look at the 895 00:38:44,859 --> 00:38:42,410 world now we're looking at it in all 896 00:38:47,230 --> 00:38:44,869 different ways we using radars and all 897 00:38:48,609 --> 00:38:47,240 kinds of instruments and that's good I 898 00:38:50,680 --> 00:38:48,619 mean we're seeing things you never seen 899 00:38:52,650 --> 00:38:50,690 before but to my mind the thing that's 900 00:38:55,359 --> 00:38:52,660 made the biggest difference really is 901 00:38:57,579 --> 00:38:55,369 computing power you know we've got 902 00:38:59,640 --> 00:38:57,589 computers now that can I mean my iPhone 903 00:39:01,320 --> 00:38:59,650 now could do more than 904 00:39:03,660 --> 00:39:01,330 sort of computers when I was a college 905 00:39:06,090 --> 00:39:03,670 student that would take up a room 906 00:39:09,180 --> 00:39:06,100 so computing powers are managed to 907 00:39:11,910 --> 00:39:09,190 allowed us to simulate the world at a 908 00:39:15,750 --> 00:39:11,920 very fine resolution very realistically 909 00:39:18,330 --> 00:39:15,760 not possible 20 years ago it's a huge 910 00:39:21,330 --> 00:39:18,340 help it's really tough to do it all by 911 00:39:25,470 --> 00:39:21,340 hand let me tell you we have another 912 00:39:28,170 --> 00:39:25,480 question from the audience how did you 913 00:39:35,730 --> 00:39:28,180 get the camera got your head 914 00:39:37,350 --> 00:39:35,740 that's right had to show us how did you 915 00:39:40,020 --> 00:39:37,360 get the camera from the moon 916 00:39:41,970 --> 00:39:40,030 Oh earlier we had an Apollo 11 917 00:39:43,470 --> 00:39:41,980 Hasselblad camera here in hey she wants 918 00:39:45,240 --> 00:39:43,480 to know how we got that from the moon 919 00:39:47,040 --> 00:39:45,250 the astronauts actually brought that 920 00:39:48,990 --> 00:39:47,050 back with them it was with them in the 921 00:39:50,460 --> 00:39:49,000 spacecraft when they came back and you 922 00:39:52,260 --> 00:39:50,470 can actually go just a few doors down 923 00:39:54,810 --> 00:39:52,270 here over in our milestones of flight 924 00:39:57,030 --> 00:39:54,820 gallery and see the spacecraft it came 925 00:39:58,280 --> 00:39:57,040 back in so it was protected as it came 926 00:40:00,930 --> 00:39:58,290 back through the atmosphere 927 00:40:10,920 --> 00:40:00,940 yeah and it's government property so 928 00:40:13,020 --> 00:40:10,930 those guys they have to how many days 929 00:40:15,750 --> 00:40:13,030 did it take you how to come back to 930 00:40:18,600 --> 00:40:15,760 earth how many days does it take to come 931 00:40:20,520 --> 00:40:18,610 back okay you know what this is amazing 932 00:40:21,960 --> 00:40:20,530 when you're going around the world on 933 00:40:24,840 --> 00:40:21,970 the space station or in Space Shuttle 934 00:40:28,590 --> 00:40:24,850 and the engines kick in to bring you 935 00:40:31,470 --> 00:40:28,600 back to earth I'm Space Shuttle about an 936 00:40:33,720 --> 00:40:31,480 hour later you're back on the ground 937 00:40:36,750 --> 00:40:33,730 takes an hour now if you like the moon 938 00:40:39,539 --> 00:40:36,760 and you decide to come back it takes 939 00:40:42,059 --> 00:40:39,549 about two and a half days two and a half 940 00:40:44,759 --> 00:40:42,069 days you're falling all the way home it 941 00:40:49,019 --> 00:40:44,769 takes about two and a half days another 942 00:40:51,569 --> 00:40:49,029 question from the audience if if this 943 00:40:52,859 --> 00:40:51,579 day time may be good to the moon will 944 00:40:55,470 --> 00:40:52,869 still be dark 945 00:41:00,750 --> 00:40:55,480 oh so if it's daytime here is gonna be 946 00:41:03,509 --> 00:41:00,760 dark on the moon no if you if you look 947 00:41:05,190 --> 00:41:03,519 up sometimes during the day you can see 948 00:41:08,250 --> 00:41:05,200 the moon on a very clear day have you 949 00:41:09,720 --> 00:41:08,260 ever seen that you ever seen that yeah 950 00:41:12,839 --> 00:41:09,730 the moon goes around the world very 951 00:41:14,700 --> 00:41:12,849 slowly so for like half the time it's 952 00:41:17,609 --> 00:41:14,710 bright and you can see it and the other 953 00:41:19,360 --> 00:41:17,619 half time it's it's darker you can see 954 00:41:22,960 --> 00:41:19,370 it during the day too 955 00:41:24,630 --> 00:41:22,970 an online question we do have an online 956 00:41:27,640 --> 00:41:24,640 question next 957 00:41:29,170 --> 00:41:27,650 how has atmospheric pollution changed 958 00:41:34,300 --> 00:41:29,180 over time is it something to be 959 00:41:36,360 --> 00:41:34,310 concerned about okay well there's that's 960 00:41:38,380 --> 00:41:36,370 a complicated question but first of all 961 00:41:40,030 --> 00:41:38,390 let's talk about the atmospheric 962 00:41:42,640 --> 00:41:40,040 pollution that surround the cities 963 00:41:45,130 --> 00:41:42,650 around industry that has got a lot 964 00:41:47,290 --> 00:41:45,140 better a lot better in the developed 965 00:41:49,210 --> 00:41:47,300 world over the last 20 years and we can 966 00:41:51,550 --> 00:41:49,220 see that from space we can see how all 967 00:41:55,240 --> 00:41:51,560 the cities in Europe and in North 968 00:41:57,100 --> 00:41:55,250 America have cleaned up enormous Lea so 969 00:41:59,710 --> 00:41:57,110 you can all be thankful for you know all 970 00:42:00,940 --> 00:41:59,720 the legislation that did that in other 971 00:42:02,920 --> 00:42:00,950 parts of the world I said earlier 972 00:42:04,900 --> 00:42:02,930 pollution around cities has actually got 973 00:42:07,600 --> 00:42:04,910 worse because people are developing very 974 00:42:09,880 --> 00:42:07,610 fast the thing that you know as most 975 00:42:12,310 --> 00:42:09,890 worry to earth scientists like me is the 976 00:42:15,130 --> 00:42:12,320 increase in carbon dioxide over time 977 00:42:17,230 --> 00:42:15,140 which gives you a climate change but 978 00:42:19,000 --> 00:42:17,240 that increase in carbon dioxide isn't 979 00:42:20,800 --> 00:42:19,010 dangerous to you and me health-wise you 980 00:42:23,410 --> 00:42:20,810 know I breathe in a little bit more 981 00:42:26,860 --> 00:42:23,420 carbon dioxide it doesn't hurt me it is 982 00:42:28,620 --> 00:42:26,870 what it does the climate system another 983 00:42:31,230 --> 00:42:28,630 question from the audience 984 00:42:33,210 --> 00:42:31,240 how heavy is the spacesuit even when 985 00:42:35,940 --> 00:42:33,220 your anyway there's no gravity on a moon 986 00:42:38,520 --> 00:42:35,950 one how heavy is the spacesuit when 987 00:42:42,300 --> 00:42:38,530 you're wearing a spacesuit it's heavy 988 00:42:44,760 --> 00:42:42,310 it's about three times as much well two 989 00:42:47,370 --> 00:42:44,770 times as much as I weigh just a 990 00:42:50,100 --> 00:42:47,380 spacesuit but when you're in space 991 00:42:54,060 --> 00:42:50,110 you're weightless so you don't even feel 992 00:42:57,540 --> 00:42:54,070 it you don't even feel it but if I wore 993 00:43:00,690 --> 00:42:57,550 it on the ground at fall over another 994 00:43:05,720 --> 00:43:00,700 audience question what will happen if we 995 00:43:11,010 --> 00:43:05,730 still smell a burn cold till the 20th 996 00:43:14,220 --> 00:43:11,020 21st century up to 2,000 to the next 997 00:43:15,840 --> 00:43:14,230 century if we saw keep burning coal if 998 00:43:17,880 --> 00:43:15,850 we still keep burning coal at the rate 999 00:43:19,440 --> 00:43:17,890 that we're doing now all the way up 1000 00:43:21,810 --> 00:43:19,450 through 2100 and I think this is 1001 00:43:24,180 --> 00:43:21,820 unlikely for the reasons I said but if 1002 00:43:26,070 --> 00:43:24,190 we did we'd have a very warm world and 1003 00:43:28,920 --> 00:43:26,080 the climate patterns will be very 1004 00:43:31,050 --> 00:43:28,930 different and in fact when you get that 1005 00:43:32,550 --> 00:43:31,060 warm it's not really clear what kind of 1006 00:43:33,990 --> 00:43:32,560 a wall we would have have I think 1007 00:43:35,330 --> 00:43:34,000 there'll be quite a lot of problems so 1008 00:43:39,570 --> 00:43:35,340 I'm pretty sure between now and then 1009 00:43:44,130 --> 00:43:39,580 people like you will help figure out a 1010 00:43:46,150 --> 00:43:44,140 way to do things better another audience 1011 00:43:48,160 --> 00:43:46,160 question 1012 00:43:50,710 --> 00:43:48,170 what do laugh in like me you in a 1013 00:43:52,450 --> 00:43:50,720 spacesuit what does it feel like when 1014 00:43:55,120 --> 00:43:52,460 you're in a spacesuit it feels very 1015 00:43:57,850 --> 00:43:55,130 comfortable because the Spade is 1016 00:43:59,620 --> 00:43:57,860 floating and you're floating inside the 1017 00:44:01,510 --> 00:43:59,630 spacesuit so it gets kind of bumping off 1018 00:44:04,360 --> 00:44:01,520 the inside it's very very comfortable 1019 00:44:07,270 --> 00:44:04,370 and the thing that's not so comfortable 1020 00:44:08,920 --> 00:44:07,280 is when you try and move your hands or 1021 00:44:18,520 --> 00:44:08,930 your arms because the spacesuit fights 1022 00:44:20,080 --> 00:44:18,530 back another online question what has 1023 00:44:21,430 --> 00:44:20,090 been the most surprising thing you have 1024 00:44:27,100 --> 00:44:21,440 learned about the earth and all your 1025 00:44:30,340 --> 00:44:27,110 research well let's think about that I 1026 00:44:32,470 --> 00:44:30,350 was really surprised how big an 1027 00:44:35,020 --> 00:44:32,480 influence all the living things on the 1028 00:44:37,720 --> 00:44:35,030 world have on the climate system that 1029 00:44:39,250 --> 00:44:37,730 that was that basically the biology of 1030 00:44:42,160 --> 00:44:39,260 the earth has a big impact on the 1031 00:44:45,070 --> 00:44:42,170 climate and the way things work and in 1032 00:44:48,130 --> 00:44:45,080 fact that the whole biosphere is 1033 00:44:50,440 --> 00:44:48,140 reacting to the increase the changes the 1034 00:44:51,940 --> 00:44:50,450 increase in co2 by sucking down more 1035 00:44:54,400 --> 00:44:51,950 carbon dioxide is actually helping us 1036 00:44:57,040 --> 00:44:54,410 out so you know you have to take pay 1037 00:44:59,590 --> 00:44:57,050 attention to global biology which is 1038 00:45:01,770 --> 00:44:59,600 something we don't even fought off 30 1039 00:45:05,140 --> 00:45:01,780 years ago it's a brand new science 1040 00:45:06,940 --> 00:45:05,150 actually I want to jump in there we hear 1041 00:45:08,470 --> 00:45:06,950 a lot about deforestation especially in 1042 00:45:09,700 --> 00:45:08,480 the Amazon are we noticing a lot of 1043 00:45:12,520 --> 00:45:09,710 changes in that particular region 1044 00:45:14,500 --> 00:45:12,530 because of the loss of those plants know 1045 00:45:18,190 --> 00:45:14,510 what's happening there was a massive 1046 00:45:20,950 --> 00:45:18,200 loss deforestation with development 1047 00:45:24,220 --> 00:45:20,960 fifteen 20 years ago we've changed some 1048 00:45:26,140 --> 00:45:24,230 policies that slowed quite a lot and the 1049 00:45:28,240 --> 00:45:26,150 other thing is we've seen actually in 1050 00:45:29,590 --> 00:45:28,250 North America a large regrowth of 1051 00:45:31,720 --> 00:45:29,600 forests particularly on the eastern 1052 00:45:33,760 --> 00:45:31,730 seaboard all the way up and down around 1053 00:45:37,530 --> 00:45:33,770 here forests have been wheat growing 1054 00:45:41,980 --> 00:45:37,540 that's great another audience question 1055 00:45:44,560 --> 00:45:41,990 what do it look like in space with the - 1056 00:45:48,640 --> 00:45:44,570 we'll think his space look like what do 1057 00:45:51,040 --> 00:45:48,650 we look like here let me tell you what 1058 00:45:53,560 --> 00:45:51,050 you can see from up there you can look 1059 00:45:55,690 --> 00:45:53,570 down and you can look down at the city 1060 00:45:58,150 --> 00:45:55,700 and you can recognize the outline of the 1061 00:46:02,200 --> 00:45:58,160 city from York you know geography you 1062 00:46:03,670 --> 00:46:02,210 can see rivers you can see ship wakes 1063 00:46:06,280 --> 00:46:03,680 you know ships going across the ocean 1064 00:46:08,350 --> 00:46:06,290 you can even see airliner contrails 1065 00:46:10,750 --> 00:46:08,360 going across the Atlantic you can see 1066 00:46:12,460 --> 00:46:10,760 planes very slowly below you while 1067 00:46:14,470 --> 00:46:12,470 you're spacewalking pushing their way 1068 00:46:16,600 --> 00:46:14,480 across the Atlantic you can't see the 1069 00:46:18,820 --> 00:46:16,610 plane that you see the little white tail 1070 00:46:20,950 --> 00:46:18,830 coming out from behind it so you can 1071 00:46:24,120 --> 00:46:20,960 almost you can see things that people 1072 00:46:26,650 --> 00:46:24,130 make cities planes ships almost and 1073 00:46:28,290 --> 00:46:26,660 still go around the world in an hour and 1074 00:46:31,600 --> 00:46:28,300 a half so the world is a small place 1075 00:46:36,040 --> 00:46:31,610 it's a very small place another audience 1076 00:46:38,830 --> 00:46:36,050 question like how do you get the day's s 1077 00:46:41,380 --> 00:46:38,840 around over the earth to take pictures 1078 00:46:43,240 --> 00:46:41,390 how do we get the things up into space 1079 00:46:45,700 --> 00:46:43,250 that look down to take the pictures 1080 00:46:51,070 --> 00:46:45,710 great question that's the difficult bit 1081 00:46:53,680 --> 00:46:51,080 we use one of those a rocket so we use a 1082 00:46:55,150 --> 00:46:53,690 big rocket and the bit that ends up in 1083 00:46:57,670 --> 00:46:55,160 space is only about the size of a 1084 00:47:00,040 --> 00:46:57,680 refrigerator so you have a huge straight 1085 00:47:01,990 --> 00:47:00,050 rocket and the thing up there on the top 1086 00:47:05,560 --> 00:47:02,000 the side refrigerator but here's the 1087 00:47:08,170 --> 00:47:05,570 typical bit that thing is so so delicate 1088 00:47:10,870 --> 00:47:08,180 so precious so expensive and hard to 1089 00:47:13,000 --> 00:47:10,880 make I'm amazed it survives the ride up 1090 00:47:14,920 --> 00:47:13,010 into space and then it gets hot and gets 1091 00:47:16,510 --> 00:47:14,930 cold it shake it to bits on the way up 1092 00:47:18,640 --> 00:47:16,520 and this still works 1093 00:47:21,100 --> 00:47:18,650 so people have got really good at making 1094 00:47:23,280 --> 00:47:21,110 this stuff 1095 00:47:25,170 --> 00:47:23,290 online question 1096 00:47:27,890 --> 00:47:25,180 did your work as a Shuttle astronaut 1097 00:47:32,910 --> 00:47:27,900 relate directly to your climate research 1098 00:47:34,920 --> 00:47:32,920 honest answer not really so I was a 1099 00:47:38,670 --> 00:47:34,930 climate scientist before I became a 1100 00:47:40,620 --> 00:47:38,680 national and you know I think it's 1101 00:47:42,420 --> 00:47:40,630 useful to have people who know all parts 1102 00:47:44,730 --> 00:47:42,430 of our science and the astronaut office 1103 00:47:46,110 --> 00:47:44,740 and that was me but most of the time I 1104 00:47:49,220 --> 00:47:46,120 was worrying about how to build space 1105 00:47:54,000 --> 00:47:49,230 station along with all my friends 1106 00:47:57,120 --> 00:47:54,010 another audience question how do you 1107 00:48:00,960 --> 00:47:57,130 sleep in space without like voting with 1108 00:48:01,560 --> 00:48:00,970 all that that is a great question let me 1109 00:48:05,580 --> 00:48:01,570 let me 1110 00:48:07,740 --> 00:48:05,590 show you what happens to my friends when 1111 00:48:09,150 --> 00:48:07,750 they tried to go to sleep in space you 1112 00:48:11,460 --> 00:48:09,160 know first day or so they look like this 1113 00:48:17,730 --> 00:48:11,470 they get this sleeping bag tied to the 1114 00:48:19,260 --> 00:48:17,740 wall and they go like this and that's 1115 00:48:21,390 --> 00:48:19,270 because when you close your eyes and 1116 00:48:23,280 --> 00:48:21,400 start to go to sleep you feel like 1117 00:48:24,900 --> 00:48:23,290 you're falling you feel like you just 1118 00:48:26,190 --> 00:48:24,910 fell off a 10-story building because 1119 00:48:28,140 --> 00:48:26,200 your eyes aren't telling you their rings 1120 00:48:32,520 --> 00:48:28,150 the same and so some part of your braces 1121 00:48:34,260 --> 00:48:32,530 wake up so just to kind of fool yourself 1122 00:48:37,350 --> 00:48:34,270 you tie yourself to the wall using 1123 00:48:39,240 --> 00:48:37,360 bungee straps like this pretend you're 1124 00:48:41,700 --> 00:48:39,250 at home in bed but I always found it 1125 00:48:43,710 --> 00:48:41,710 hard to sleep in space but let me tell 1126 00:48:45,990 --> 00:48:43,720 you a story people who grew up there for 1127 00:48:48,090 --> 00:48:46,000 a long time like 4 1 2 3 months they get 1128 00:48:50,910 --> 00:48:48,100 used to it and I have a Russian friend 1129 00:48:54,510 --> 00:48:50,920 and you just look at me and say oh peers 1130 00:48:55,710 --> 00:48:54,520 I want to sleep now I never go to sleep 1131 00:49:00,610 --> 00:48:55,720 in the middle of the room and he just 1132 00:49:03,440 --> 00:49:00,620 flowed around but he was used to it 1133 00:49:07,850 --> 00:49:03,450 good question it's hard to sleep in 1134 00:49:10,480 --> 00:49:07,860 space it's very hard question is how 1135 00:49:13,640 --> 00:49:10,490 many plan is there up this face 1136 00:49:18,370 --> 00:49:13,650 how many planets how many planets all 1137 00:49:23,390 --> 00:49:21,020 around this our Sun but one of them got 1138 00:49:25,250 --> 00:49:23,400 demoted and it's not really a planet 1139 00:49:27,080 --> 00:49:25,260 anymore get kicked out of the girl they 1140 00:49:27,500 --> 00:49:27,090 tell you but let me tell you something 1141 00:49:29,060 --> 00:49:27,510 else 1142 00:49:32,800 --> 00:49:29,070 we've been looking around other stars 1143 00:49:35,810 --> 00:49:32,810 out there and we think we have found 1144 00:49:38,150 --> 00:49:35,820 3000 other planets just around the stars 1145 00:49:41,570 --> 00:49:38,160 that are closest to us every solar 1146 00:49:43,730 --> 00:49:41,580 system we look at has planets so we 1147 00:49:45,980 --> 00:49:43,740 think the galaxy is lousy with planets 1148 00:49:49,130 --> 00:49:45,990 they're all over the place all different 1149 00:49:52,040 --> 00:49:49,140 kinds shapes sizes lots like Jupiter big 1150 00:49:54,140 --> 00:49:52,050 fat gassy ones quite a few rocky planets 1151 00:49:56,210 --> 00:49:54,150 they're all over the place we found 1152 00:49:58,280 --> 00:49:56,220 three thousand so far just in ten years 1153 00:49:59,960 --> 00:49:58,290 of looking so that's going to be the 1154 00:50:02,330 --> 00:49:59,970 exciting thing for the new kids back 1155 00:50:05,000 --> 00:50:02,340 there is looking further and further out 1156 00:50:13,620 --> 00:50:05,010 and looking at planets more and more 1157 00:50:18,150 --> 00:50:16,920 can we make another planet probably we 1158 00:50:18,750 --> 00:50:18,160 could make another plan I think it'd be 1159 00:50:24,560 --> 00:50:18,760 hard 1160 00:50:30,330 --> 00:50:28,710 we do have an online question what was 1161 00:50:32,550 --> 00:50:30,340 the biggest setback in your researcher 1162 00:50:36,510 --> 00:50:32,560 or your career how did you overcome it 1163 00:50:41,690 --> 00:50:36,520 oh well that's that's that's a good 1164 00:50:43,890 --> 00:50:41,700 question I think the biggest setback 1165 00:50:46,320 --> 00:50:43,900 collectively for all of us who are 1166 00:50:49,440 --> 00:50:46,330 working on trying to build space station 1167 00:50:51,480 --> 00:50:49,450 in the astronaut office was the loss of 1168 00:50:52,770 --> 00:50:51,490 the space shuttle Columbia there was a 1169 00:50:55,440 --> 00:50:52,780 terrible thing you know we lost some 1170 00:50:57,060 --> 00:50:55,450 friends and the program just came to a 1171 00:51:00,050 --> 00:50:57,070 grinding halt for like two and a half 1172 00:51:03,000 --> 00:51:00,060 years that was really tough on everybody 1173 00:51:04,800 --> 00:51:03,010 tough on NASA tough on United States and 1174 00:51:07,590 --> 00:51:04,810 tough on the people who we lost and 1175 00:51:11,330 --> 00:51:07,600 their families we just worked hard and 1176 00:51:14,060 --> 00:51:11,340 got over came back 1177 00:51:16,310 --> 00:51:14,070 another audience question what was your 1178 00:51:18,050 --> 00:51:16,320 favorite time to go to the space the 1179 00:51:20,260 --> 00:51:18,060 first time you went there or the second 1180 00:51:24,110 --> 00:51:20,270 time you went or the third time oh 1181 00:51:28,700 --> 00:51:24,120 that's a great question you know what my 1182 00:51:31,730 --> 00:51:28,710 second mission was my favorite we 1183 00:51:33,290 --> 00:51:31,740 launched on the 4th of July 1184 00:51:36,170 --> 00:51:33,300 the only shuttle mission ever to launch 1185 00:51:39,380 --> 00:51:36,180 on the 4th of July so we we had burgers 1186 00:51:40,430 --> 00:51:39,390 for breakfast get us in the mood and it 1187 00:51:42,140 --> 00:51:40,440 was just a great mission 1188 00:51:44,240 --> 00:51:42,150 lots of spacewalks a lot of exciting 1189 00:51:46,130 --> 00:51:44,250 things happening it was a lot of fun now 1190 00:51:49,610 --> 00:51:46,140 I mentioned earlier that you took a pee 1191 00:51:51,290 --> 00:51:49,620 you took a replica Nobel Prize on that 1192 00:51:53,510 --> 00:51:51,300 mission tell the audience what else you 1193 00:51:55,400 --> 00:51:53,520 took on that measure yes so I called the 1194 00:51:57,380 --> 00:51:55,410 Royal Society of London says there 1195 00:51:59,150 --> 00:51:57,390 anything you'd like me to take up in 1196 00:52:01,870 --> 00:51:59,160 space they said yeah how about a piece 1197 00:52:05,240 --> 00:52:01,880 of Isaac Newton's apple tree 1198 00:52:07,580 --> 00:52:05,250 so when Isaac Newton died they soared up 1199 00:52:10,730 --> 00:52:07,590 his apple tree and kept it in the museum 1200 00:52:13,400 --> 00:52:10,740 so I took a piece up with me and then I 1201 00:52:15,410 --> 00:52:13,410 held it up there in space and I took my 1202 00:52:18,620 --> 00:52:15,420 hand away to see if it would fall like 1203 00:52:20,450 --> 00:52:18,630 the Apple I know it didn't but I know 1204 00:52:22,940 --> 00:52:20,460 and I did this for a school's lecture 1205 00:52:25,790 --> 00:52:22,950 and I said kids do you think Sir Isaac 1206 00:52:29,030 --> 00:52:25,800 would have been fooled by this no Isaac 1207 00:52:31,220 --> 00:52:29,040 would have known that actually the bit 1208 00:52:33,110 --> 00:52:31,230 of apple tree is falling but so is the 1209 00:52:35,000 --> 00:52:33,120 whole space station around it falling at 1210 00:52:38,630 --> 00:52:35,010 the same rate so it doesn't appear to 1211 00:52:41,069 --> 00:52:38,640 move so Sir Isaac would have known 1212 00:52:45,029 --> 00:52:41,079 we have another online question I'll 1213 00:52:47,910 --> 00:52:45,039 have to give it back by the way do you 1214 00:52:51,150 --> 00:52:47,920 ever dream about weightlessness yes I do 1215 00:52:54,509 --> 00:52:51,160 I do I dream about waist lessness and I 1216 00:52:56,700 --> 00:52:54,519 dream about going in from blinding light 1217 00:52:58,620 --> 00:52:56,710 to dark because when you're whipping 1218 00:53:01,410 --> 00:52:58,630 around the world in space that's what 1219 00:53:04,859 --> 00:53:01,420 happens Bryant blinding this beautiful 1220 00:53:07,109 --> 00:53:04,869 sunlight you've ever seen all the colors 1221 00:53:10,200 --> 00:53:07,119 as bright as anything BAM a few seconds 1222 00:53:11,970 --> 00:53:10,210 later pitch black your night time on the 1223 00:53:13,650 --> 00:53:11,980 backside of the world and you're seeing 1224 00:53:15,630 --> 00:53:13,660 thunderstorm flashes below that's a 1225 00:53:17,130 --> 00:53:15,640 compensation and the cities you're 1226 00:53:20,190 --> 00:53:17,140 seeing other things at night going on 1227 00:53:21,599 --> 00:53:20,200 below you but white black white black 1228 00:53:24,299 --> 00:53:21,609 it's kind of that's the way it is when 1229 00:53:26,160 --> 00:53:24,309 you're working around the world well 1230 00:53:28,380 --> 00:53:26,170 thank you so much for joining us today 1231 00:53:30,630 --> 00:53:28,390 we want to thank Boeing our sponsors of 1232 00:53:32,220 --> 00:53:30,640 the wetsuit and aerospace series dr. 1233 00:53:34,349 --> 00:53:32,230 Sellars for joining us and giving us a 1234 00:53:37,789 --> 00:53:34,359 really interesting tour of Earth from 1235 00:53:40,140 --> 00:53:37,799 outer space and also to NASA for their